Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 15.963523 18.542605 21.345380 24.609748 28.299140 32.331368 37.063293
2025-07-27 11.930853 15.542182 19.856677 25.352244 32.123107 40.146711 50.324211
2025-08-03 9.328639 13.326909 18.476243 25.505681 34.750022 46.379719 61.986297
2025-08-10 7.371546 11.414944 16.970899 25.013173 36.177789 50.925250 71.631938
2025-08-17 5.919454 9.865600 15.614065 24.378699 37.134398 54.704889 80.341317
2025-08-24 4.797606 8.568853 14.369648 23.645637 37.734176 57.880313 88.288217
2025-08-31 3.855662 7.368505 13.063765 22.594243 37.662329 59.971802 94.712259
2025-09-07 3.400878 6.888805 12.802880 23.084797 39.892323 65.499060 106.401152
2025-09-14 3.005476 6.439346 12.516625 23.470508 41.943690 70.843766 118.098699
2025-09-21 2.557982 5.811057 11.829078 23.083650 42.672235 74.142392 126.811835
2025-09-28 2.156605 5.197092 11.076165 22.478500 42.945469 76.683978 134.428531
2025-10-05 2.074837 5.222898 11.510446 24.031359 47.009908 85.591002 152.681651
2025-10-12 1.925482 5.105433 11.704720 25.259442 50.784553 94.560395 172.086979
2025-10-19 1.725737 4.845033 11.594619 25.928935 53.676638 102.348938 190.225004
2025-10-26 1.506349 4.491486 11.238382 26.069298 55.598731 108.594159 206.153485
2025-11-02 1.271304 4.043678 10.606498 25.564520 56.233098 112.587459 218.420172
2025-11-09 1.064785 3.617936 9.951173 24.917407 56.505821 115.910877 229.664672
2025-11-16 0.885992 3.220767 9.292847 24.170187 56.485882 118.658090 239.994846
2025-11-23 0.720263 2.813913 8.537287 23.098495 55.678665 119.837692 247.496981
2025-11-30 0.651260 2.688099 8.469677 23.598525 58.199424 127.515473 267.400455
2025-12-07 0.585764 2.556072 8.363793 23.991669 60.515464 134.923532 287.172528
2025-12-14 0.499824 2.327847 7.956857 23.597355 61.062076 138.852379 300.517169
2025-12-21 0.419460 2.092948 7.487059 22.980508 61.042892 141.621393 311.744301